Inputs to Get P Value

How to Get the P-Value in a Chi-Square Test

The P-value in a Chi-Square test tells you the probability of observing your results (or something more extreme) if the null hypothesis is true. A smaller P-value suggests the observed differences are unlikely due to chance.


Steps to Calculate the P-Value

  1. Calculate the Chi-Square Statistic (( \chi^2 )):

    Use the formula:

    χ² = Σ [(O - E)² / E]
    

    where:

    • ( O ): Observed value.
    • ( E ): Expected value.
  2. Determine Degrees of Freedom (df):

    For one variable:

    df = (number of categories - 1)
    

    For contingency tables:

    df = (rows - 1) × (columns - 1)
    
  3. Use Software or a Chi-Square Table to Find the P-Value:

    • Input ( \chi^2 ) and df into statistical software or look up the P-value in a Chi-Square table.
    • Compare the P-value to the significance level (( \alpha )).

Example 1: Red and Blue Candies

  • Observed Counts (O): Red = 40, Blue = 20.
  • Expected Counts (E): Red = 30, Blue = 30.
  1. Calculate ( \chi^2 ):

    χ² = [(40 - 30)² / 30] + [(20 - 30)² / 30]
       = [10² / 30] + [(-10)² / 30]
       = (100 / 30) + (100 / 30)
       = 6.67
    
  2. Determine df:

    df = (number of categories - 1)
       = 2 - 1
       = 1
    
  3. Use software to calculate the P-value:

    • For ( \chi^2 = 6.67 ) and ( df = 1 ), ( P = 0.0098 ).
  4. Compare P to ( \alpha ) (e.g., 0.05):

    P = 0.0098 < 0.05
    

    Conclusion: The result is statistically significant.


Example 2: Contingency Table

Testing candy preference by age group:

Red CandiesBlue CandiesTotal
Kids503080
Adults204060
Total7070140
  1. Calculate expected values for each cell:

    Expected = (row total × column total) / grand total
    

    Example for Kids-Red:

    Expected = (80 × 70) / 140 = 40
    
  2. Compute ( \chi^2 ):

    χ² = Σ [(O - E)² / E]
       = [(50 - 40)² / 40] + [(30 - 40)² / 40] + ...
       = 2.5
    
  3. Determine df:

    df = (rows - 1) × (columns - 1)
       = (2 - 1) × (2 - 1)
       = 1
    
  4. Calculate P-value:

    • For ( \chi^2 = 2.5 ) and ( df = 1 ), ( P = 0.113 ).
  5. Compare P to ( \alpha ):

    P = 0.113 > 0.05
    

    Conclusion: The result is not statistically significant.


Summary:

  • Formulas:
    • ( \chi^2 = Σ [(O - E)² / E] )
    • ( df = (categories - 1) ) or ( (rows - 1) × (columns - 1) ).
  • Use software (e.g., Python, R) or tables to find the P-value.
  • Compare P-value to ( \alpha ) to decide if the result is significant.

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